Placer County shifting electorate

Republican registrations remain below 2020 levels despite uptick

Roseville, Calif. – Placer County, long a bastion of conservatism in California continues to change. In the process, the region continues to become more diverse, educated, and prosperous.

Waves of development, relative housing affordability, family friendly neighborhoods and great weather continue to attract highly educated residents and entrepreneurs from throughout California and the nation.

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Greater prosperity & lower crime rates

These changes have not only brought greater diversity and economic prosperity, but also lower crime rates which have bucked false media narratives which thrive on fear. The growth has also delivered some of the challenges communities face during periods of rapid growth such as a dramatic increase in traffic congestion.

As the population continues to grow, the move to a more pluralistic county could tip the balance of power within a generation should trends continue. A similar scenario played out in Orange County, a former conservative enclave turned blue.

Republican see slight uptick in 2024

According to Official Placer Elections data, Republican voter registration over the last two decades years has plummeted (data chart below). Republicans still retain a sizable, yet dwindling advantage in Placer County. For example, in 2020, despite losing in both national and statewide results, Donald Trump outperformed in Placer County in large part due to the county’s geriatric and evangelical population.

In the early part of 2024, Republican registrations have seen an uptick both locally and statewide. However, those levels currently remain below those seen in both 2016 and 2020.

Dissatisfaction with both major parties

The voter registration data also shows the biggest percentage change is that of voters not wishing to be associated with either major political party. Despite the long-term trend and downward trajectory of Republican registrations, Democratic registrations have only moved up slightly over the same period. No Party preference accounts for nearly 20 percent of registered voters with smaller political party registration rounding out the remaining eight plus percentage of registered voters.

Active Local Voters

Ryan Ronco, Placer County Clerk-Recorder-Registrar of Voters shared that Placer County is “historically 10 to 15 percentage points above the California average turnout each major election.” Placer County also currently ranks #2 for percentage of registered voters in California.

Large Drop in Voter Registrations?

Over the past few months, the total voter registration in Placer County has dropped by nearly 5,000 voters or more than one percent. With such a remarkably high change, Roseville Today reached out to election officials for some clarity. Officials shared that a postcard was sent to every active registered voter in November as part of their maintenance efforts to clean up rolls prior to upcoming elections.

Year-over-Year (May 2023 to May 2024)

May 23- May 24TotalChange
Democratic70.01%
Republican26692.36%
Independent2391.82%
Libertarian-1162.17%
Green530.53%
Peace / Freedom9111.40%
Other-952.80%
No Party-19663.51%

As of May 2024, Placer County elections currently lists 282,732 registered voters, a monthly increase of under 500. Total registrations have dropped from over 285,000 voters since November of 2023. Total voter registration has increased by approximately 60,000 in just the last several years which equates to over 20 percent of all voters.

Placer County Voter Registration

Placer County Voter registration chart
Placer County Voter Registration since 2006.

Political registrations over time: Updated May 2024

YearRepublican RegistrationDemocratic RegistrationOther / No Preference
200651.70%28.69%19.61%
200850.59%28.70%20.71%
201048.39%29.07%22.54%
201247.96%28.05%23.99%
201446.37%27.54%26.09%
201645.40%28.91%25.69%
201842.48%28.27%29.25%
202041.75%30.75%27.50%
202140.73%31.33%27.94%
202240.33%31.66%28.01%
202339.99%31.79%28.22%
202440.86%31.59%27.55%

Data Sources: California Secretary of State
and Placer County

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