Placer County shifting electorate

Republicans registrations nudge higher to close out 2024

Roseville, Calif. – Placer County, long a bastion of conservatism in California continues to change. In the process, our region has evolved to to become more diverse, more educated, and dramatically more prosperous.

Waves of development, relative housing affordability, family friendly neighborhoods and great weather continue to attract highly educated residents and entrepreneurs from throughout California and the nation.

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Greater prosperity & lower crime rates

These changes have brought greater diversity, economic prosperity, and lower crime rates according to local law enforcement records. These trends have bucked false media narratives and propaganda which have capitalized on people’s fear. The growth has also delivered some of the challenges communities face during periods of rapid growth such as a dramatic increase in traffic congestion.

As the population continues to grow, the move to a more pluralistic county could tip the balance of power within a generation should trends continue. A similar scenario played out in Orange County, a former conservative enclave turned blue.

Republicans outperform

According to Official Placer Elections data, Republican voter registration over the last two decades years has plummeted (data chart below). Republicans still retain a sizable, yet shrinking advantage in Placer County. For example, in both 2020 and 2024, Donald Trump outperformed in Placer County.

As of December 2024, there are a total of 295,006 registered voters in Placer County, an increase of over 3,000 since last month’s report.

Dissatisfaction with both major parties

The voter registration data also shows the biggest percentage change is that of voters not wishing to be associated with either major political party. Despite the long-term trend and downward trajectory of Republican registrations, Democratic registrations have only moved up slightly over the same period. No Party preference accounts for nearly 20 percent of registered voters with smaller political party registration rounding out the remaining eight plus percentage of registered voters.

Active Local Voters

Ryan Ronco, Placer County Clerk-Recorder-Registrar of Voters shared that Placer County is “historically 10 to 15 percentage points above the California average turnout each major election.” Placer County also currently ranks #2 for percentage of registered voters in California.

Placer County Voter Registration

chart of Placer County voter registration since 2006
Placer County Voter Registration since 2006.

Political registrations over time: Updated December 2024

YearRepublican RegistrationDemocratic RegistrationOther / No Preference
200651.70%28.69%19.61%
200850.59%28.70%20.71%
201048.39%29.07%22.54%
201247.96%28.05%23.99%
201446.37%27.54%26.09%
201645.40%28.91%25.69%
201842.48%28.27%29.25%
202041.75%30.75%27.50%
202140.73%31.33%27.94%
202240.33%31.66%28.01%
202339.99%31.79%28.22%
202441.06%31.25%27.69%

Data Sources: California Secretary of State
and Placer County

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